This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.
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Current Limitations
Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:
- Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
- A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.
2020 Performance Recap
In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.
You can find our records on NFLPickWatch
Money Line Predictions
<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .9 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.08 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.92 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.81 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.19 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.79 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.21 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.65 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.35 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.59 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.41 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.81 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.19 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.51 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.49 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.63 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.37 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.11 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.89 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.48 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.52 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.15 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.85 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.38 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.62 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.27 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.73 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.17 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.83 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>Questions/Feedback
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