NFL Money Line Predictions - Week 10 2021

By Andy Troiano · November 11, 2021

This post covers the probabilities of who will win a game. We do not provide commentary on the picks, we provide the outputs directly from our models. There are plenty of other resources you can use to help guide your picks in conjunction with the data we provide.

HouseKeeping!

Subscription To Our Site

If you like this content and also play fantasy football, our site provides weekly game projections.

We provide weekly projections and stats for $5 a month during the regular season. When the season is over, we do not bill.

With the MVP subscription:

  • You can customize scoring
  • Save players to your roster
  • Download all the predictions into a CSV file
  • Download raw player data to do your analysis/modeling

You can make a free account to get a preview!

Register Here

We also have a How-To article you can review to give you a taste of what is available.

Current Limitations

Below is a list of the current known limitations in our model:

  • Last-minute roster changes or injuries will not be captured by the model.
  • A good example is when Tyrod Taylor has his lung punctured by their team doctor before game 2 during the 2020 season.

2020 Performance Recap

In 2020, we went 184 and 84. Good for 10th overall in the country.

You can find our records on NFLPickWatch

Money Line Predictions

<table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> HomeTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> AwayTeam </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> BinScore </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Prediction </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> HomeTeamWinProb </th> <th style="text-align:right;"> AwayTeamWinProb </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Miami Dolphins </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .9 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Baltimore Ravens </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.08 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.92 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Jacksonville Jaguars </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Indianapolis Colts </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.81 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.19 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atlanta Falcons </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Dallas Cowboys </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.79 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.21 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Cleveland Browns </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New England Patriots </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.65 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.35 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Detroit Lions </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Pittsburgh Steelers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.59 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.41 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Carolina Panthers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.81 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.19 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Minnesota Vikings </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Chargers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.51 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.49 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Seattle Seahawks </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Green Bay Packers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.63 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.37 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> New York Jets </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Buffalo Bills </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.11 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.89 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tennessee Titans </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .5 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> New Orleans Saints </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.48 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.52 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Washington Football Team </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Tampa Bay Buccaneers </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.15 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.85 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Denver Broncos </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .6 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Philadelphia Eagles </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.38 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.62 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Las Vegas Raiders </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .7 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Kansas City Chiefs </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.27 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.73 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> San Francisco 49ers </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> .8 </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> Los Angeles Rams </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.17 </td> <td style="text-align:right;"> 0.83 </td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

Questions/Feedback

If anyone has any questions or wants to talk to us, you can find us on our Slack Channel. Click here to join: We love to talk.