South Florida at Bowling Green
Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
South Florida 14, Bowling Green 6 on Sep 26, 2026. Against the closing line, Bowling Green covered; the total went under. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
- Kickoff (ET): Saturday, September 26, 2026, 5:00 PM
- Venue: Doyt L. Perry Stadium
- Consensus spread: Bowling Green +18
- Consensus total: 49
- Moneyline: Bowling Green +638 / South Florida -1024
- Model projection (experimental): South Florida 32.7 - Bowling Green 16.2; South Florida wins 84%
- Model fair line (experimental): Bowling Green +16.5, total 49
- Final: South Florida 14, Bowling Green 6
- Against the spread: Bowling Green covered
- Total: Under
Team comparison
| Team | Record | Conf | ATS | AP | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 6-4 | 2-4 | 4-6-0 | 4 | |
| Bowling Green | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5-5-0 | -19.3 |
South Florida recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | vs Delaware State | W | 59-17 |
| Sep 12 | at Army | W | 28-24 |
| Sep 5 | vs Florida International | W | 19-9 |
Bowling Green recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | at Iowa State | L | 7-55 |
| Sep 12 | at Nebraska | L | 7-56 |
| Sep 5 | vs Tarleton State | L | 13-20 |
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com