Nevada at North Dakota State
Experimental model: market-anchored, it moves the line only slightly and matched the closing line in the 2024-25 backtest rather than beating it. A second opinion, not a pick. Odds are shown for information only and change quickly; confirm the price at the sportsbook. There is no gambling offered on this site. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-MY-RESET.
Nevada 17, North Dakota State 31 on Oct 17, 2026. Against the closing line, the spread pushed; the total went over. Box score context, records against the spread and the head-to-head series.
Game details
- Kickoff (ET): Saturday, October 17, 2026, 7:00 PM
- Venue: Fargodome
- Consensus spread: North Dakota State -14
- Consensus total: 43
- Moneyline: North Dakota State -724 / Nevada +500
- Model projection (experimental): Nevada 13.8 - North Dakota State 28.5; North Dakota State wins 83%
- Model fair line (experimental): North Dakota State -14.5, total 42.5
- Final: Nevada 17, North Dakota State 31
- Against the spread: Push
- Total: Over
Team comparison
| Team | Record | Conf | ATS | AP | SP+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 4-6 | 3-3 | 6-4-0 | -6.4 | |
| North Dakota State | 8-2 | 5-2 | 4-5-1 | 10.7 |
Nevada recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at UTEP | W | 30-13 |
| Sep 26 | vs Air Force | L | 33-36 |
| Sep 19 | at Middle Tennessee | L | 20-27 |
North Dakota State recent games
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | at UNLV | L | 7-13 |
| Oct 3 | vs Wyoming | W | 28-0 |
| Sep 19 | at Sacramento State | W | 31-10 |
Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com